Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021271 0.022874 0.024540 0.026403 0.028430 0.030569 0.033001
2026-01-11 0.018679 0.020995 0.023527 0.026506 0.029924 0.033734 0.038314
2026-01-18 0.016929 0.019656 0.022750 0.026533 0.031053 0.036304 0.042896
2026-01-25 0.015704 0.018718 0.022242 0.026689 0.032181 0.038784 0.047384
2026-02-01 0.014522 0.017693 0.021494 0.026419 0.032678 0.040427 0.050845
2026-02-08 0.013459 0.016712 0.020699 0.025984 0.032871 0.041624 0.053729
2026-02-15 0.012655 0.015987 0.020152 0.025793 0.033314 0.043108 0.057014
2026-02-22 0.011916 0.015290 0.019584 0.025514 0.033587 0.044339 0.059982
2026-03-01 0.011296 0.014705 0.019118 0.025322 0.033937 0.045655 0.063105
2026-03-08 0.010740 0.014170 0.018680 0.025128 0.034251 0.046909 0.066177
2026-03-15 0.010327 0.013804 0.018443 0.025186 0.034899 0.048641 0.070019
2026-03-22 0.009893 0.013382 0.018105 0.025073 0.035283 0.049993 0.073348
2026-03-29 0.009490 0.012999 0.017820 0.025049 0.035833 0.051677 0.077392
2026-04-05 0.009145 0.012684 0.017617 0.025134 0.036549 0.053653 0.082035
2026-04-12 0.008809 0.012363 0.017386 0.025157 0.037165 0.055497 0.086576
2026-04-19 0.008534 0.012116 0.017246 0.025303 0.037964 0.057656 0.091758
2026-04-26 0.008169 0.011717 0.016861 0.025050 0.038115 0.058783 0.095275
2026-05-03 0.007788 0.011276 0.016393 0.024640 0.037988 0.059439 0.098012
2026-05-10 0.007492 0.010952 0.016083 0.024461 0.038214 0.060675 0.101821
2026-05-17 0.007194 0.010612 0.015734 0.024198 0.038284 0.061642 0.105202
2026-05-24 0.006935 0.010320 0.015446 0.024017 0.038475 0.062814 0.109017
2026-05-31 0.006691 0.010041 0.015167 0.023835 0.038648 0.063958 0.112842
2026-06-07 0.006514 0.009862 0.015036 0.023889 0.039225 0.065829 0.118150